「韓流登陸」放眼灣區 兩岸四地合作共贏

<轉載自2019年3月7日 明報 社評>

高雄市長韓國瑜本月稍後訪問港澳深圳廈門四市，推動經貿交流合作。過去3年兩岸官方接觸中斷，民間交流亦受影響，這次「韓流登陸」有一定政治意義，惟亦不宜過度放大解讀，說到底韓國瑜目標只是拼經濟促民生，不想蹚政治渾水。在香港，部分人對粵港澳大灣區建設仍有很多心障，然而韓國瑜所看的，卻是大灣區能為高雄帶來什麼機遇，其行程安排以走訪港澳深為主，正好突顯他對大灣區的重視。韓國瑜強調處理經濟民生事務，應該拿掉意識形態「緊箍咒」。當高雄市政府亦以積極態度看待大灣區，香港作為區內一員，更應把握機會投入參與。

韓國瑜精心部署「登陸」 大灣區覓機遇成重點

「貨賣得出去，人進得來。」去年台灣九合一選舉，韓國瑜高票當選高雄市長，就任至今兩月有餘，「韓流」熱度依然不減。韓國瑜強調「不分藍綠力拼經濟」，當選不久已表達訪問香港和深圳的意願。他形容深圳發展充滿活力，與高雄一樣都是以外來移民為主的城市，若到大陸城市交流，首選是深圳；他在另一場合亦表示，希望可以到訪香港「參考一下」，跟本港工商企業界座談，介紹高雄投資環境，也可能透過香港，轉往大陸其他城市。最新民調顯示，韓國瑜民望比總統蔡英文和台北市長柯文哲更高，這次他宣布訪問港澳大陸，自然備受各方關注。

蔡英文上台後，拒絕接受九二共識，兩岸關係陷入谷底。今年初韓國瑜公開表示，「九二共識為兩岸關係的定海神針」，反問蔡英文「不要九二共識又不敢台獨」究竟想怎樣。韓國瑜這番言論在寶島引起甚多議論，觀乎民情反應，近半台灣民眾都支持韓國瑜的說法，比反對者多近兩成。韓國瑜就「九二共識」清晰表態，為今次訪問大陸鋪平道路。

韓國瑜這次「登陸」，事前部署相當審慎，也展示了他的政治智慧。台北當局對韓國瑜與大陸接觸頗有戒心，上月台灣陸委會還高調提醒韓國瑜「了解分際」，不得與大陸簽署任何協議。為免惹人話柄，韓國瑜再三向台灣陸委會保證，今次出訪是洽談民生經濟事務，凡涉台北當局權責的，高雄市「不會去碰」，最終取得陸委會信任和支持。不過要數韓國瑜最明智的一着，還是他以東南亞作為首度外訪目的地。上月底韓國瑜訪問星馬，簽署上億元合約，以行動證明樂意配合蔡英文政府的「新南向政策」，出訪一心只為拼經濟，沒有政治他想，亦不會將所有雞蛋放在大陸這個籃子，這令到蔡英文政府很難阻止他「登陸」。

韓國瑜希望高雄扮演南台灣領頭羊的角色，今次訪問港澳深圳廈門之行，亦體現了這一點。韓國瑜此行目標有三，一是促銷台灣產品，特別是水果等南部農產；二是設法吸引更多旅客前往高雄；三是促進兩岸四地青年交往互動，除了教育文化層面，還包括青年創業孵化器等方面的交流。韓國瑜交代訪問行程時，未有多談粵港澳大灣區發展，然而行程安排卻頗有放眼大灣區之意，港澳穗深四個大灣區核心城市，韓國瑜造訪其三，香港更是第一站。根據台灣媒體說法，韓國瑜對大灣區發展似乎頗感興趣，這次訪港除了推銷台灣水果，了解大灣區規劃進程，相信亦是重點之一。

開放心胸實事求是 韓國瑜態度值借鑑

內地改革開放，港商固然扮演了重要角色，台商的地位亦相當吃重。早在1980年代，不少台商都前往珠三角投資設廠，即便近年內地推動產業轉型「騰籠換鳥」，珠三角地區仍是台商重要根據地，粵港澳大灣區加快建設，台商其實亦非旁觀者。考慮到南台灣與大灣區的距離，高雄絕對可以成為大灣區一個重要合作伙伴，令兩岸四地聯繫更加緊密暢順，韓國瑜不過是順水推舟，香港可以加強與高雄合作，充當南台灣與大灣區的接駁口。

對於跟大陸加強經貿合作，不少台灣人仍抱有很大戒心，然而正如韓國瑜所言，大陸佔台灣外銷總額四成，沒理由放棄這個市場，最重要是能夠開放心胸，台灣人應該對自己有信心。韓國瑜這種積極務實態度，其實亦值得港人借鑑參考。大灣區規劃綱要出台以來，香港社會有不少懷疑聲音，有人質疑「假大空」，有人擔心「被規劃」，然而只要規劃措施符合香港利益、無損一國兩制原則，便不應有太多意識形態包袱。硬要否定大灣區互利合作空間，實際是搬石頭砸自己的腳。

當前北京對台政策，很大程度是「寄希望於民間」，希望透過民間經貿文化交往，加深兩岸聯繫。倘若韓國瑜這次訪問大陸取得顯著成果，相信兩岸在地方層面的交流將愈益頻繁，然而必須指出，這一發展趨勢跟緩和兩岸政治對立，並無必然關係。基於制度差異，台灣人在政治層面對大陸仍然有很大的抗拒，各地縣市政府也深明，凡是牽涉兩岸重大政治課題的事情，一定要尊重總統府的立場，所謂「地方包圍中央」，僅限於經貿文化交流事宜上向台北當局施壓。台北當局一日拒絕九二共識，兩岸政治關係難望有真正改善。

Han Kuo-yu's trip to China

MAYOR of Kaohsiung Han Kuo-yu will be visiting Hong Kong, Macao, Shenzhen and Xiamen later this month to promote economic and trade cooperation and exchanges. In the last three years, official contact across the Taiwan Strait has been interrupted and people-to-people exchanges have also been affected. Although Han's visit to mainland China is of some political significance, it should not be overinterpreted. After all, Han's only goal is to pursue economic development and improve people's livelihood. In Hong Kong, some people are still very resistant psychologically to the construction of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. In the case of Han, he focuses on the opportunities that the Greater Bay Area can bring to Kaohsiung. Even the municipal government of Kaohsiung has adopted a positive attitude towards the Greater Bay Area. As a member of the Greater Bay Area, Hong Kong should seize the opportunity to take an active part.

Han Kuo-yu wants Kaohsiung to play a leadership role in Southern Taiwan. This is manifested in his plan to visit Hong Kong, Macao, Shenzhen and Xiamen. He has not talked much about the development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area when explaining the itinerary of his visit, but the arrangement of his trip shows that he, in some way, has his eyes on the Greater Bay Area. He is going to visit three of the four core cities of the Greater Bay Area, and Hong Kong will be his first stop.

As early as the 1980s, many Taiwanese businessmen invested and set up factories in the Pearl River Delta Area. In recent years, mainland China has implemented the industrial restructuring policy of "emptying the cages for new birds". Still, the Pearl River Delta Area is the base of operation of Taiwanese businesses. In fact, they are not bystanders in the accelerating development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. Taking into consideration the proximity of Southern Taiwan to the Greater Bay Area, Kaohsiung can definitely become an important partner of the Greater Bay Area. Should this be the case, cross-strait links between the four regions will become closer, and communication, smoother.

Many Taiwanese people are still wary about strengthening economic and trade cooperation with mainland China. However, as Han said, mainland China accounts for 40% of Taiwan's total exports. There is no reason for Taiwan to give up this market. What is most important is to be open-minded and the Taiwanese should have self-confidence. Hong Kong people should also learn from the positive and practical attitude of Han. Since the Outline Development Plan for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area was unveiled, there have been many voices in Hong Kong society doubting the plan. Some criticise the plan saying that it is "empty talk" and "delusions of grandeur". Others are worried that Hong Kong is being included in the plan without being consulted. However, so long as the planning measures are in Hong Kong's interest and that the principles of "One country, two systems" will not be undermined, one should not be overburdened by one's ideological concerns. By insisting on denying the room for mutual benefit and collaboration, one is actually shooting oneself in the foot.

If Han's visit to mainland China brings significant achievements, cross-strait exchanges at the local level will become more frequent. However, it should be pointed out that such a development does not necessarily mean that cross-strait political confrontation will abate. Due to differences in the systems of the two regions, Taiwanese people are still very resistant to mainland China politically. County and municipal governments around Taiwan also know clearly that they must respect the stand of the Presidential Office on anything involving major cross-strait political issues. The so-called "localities besieging the central" tactics can only be used to put pressure on the Taipei administration on issues involving economic, trade and cultural exchanges. As long as Taipei refuses to accept the 1992 Consensus, it is unlikely to see genuine improvement in the political relationship across the Taiwan Strait.

「韓流登陸」放眼灣區 兩岸四地合作共贏

高雄市長韓國瑜本月稍後訪問港澳深圳廈門四市，推動經貿交流合作。過去3年兩岸官方接觸中斷，民間交流亦受影響，這次「韓流登陸」有一定政治意義，惟亦不宜過度放大解讀，說到底韓國瑜目標只是拼經濟促民生。在香港，部分人對粵港澳大灣區建設仍有很多心障，然而韓國瑜所看的，卻是大灣區能為高雄帶來什麼機遇。當高雄市政府亦以積極態度看待大灣區，香港作為區內一員，更應把握機會投入參與。

韓國瑜希望高雄扮演南台灣領頭羊的角色，今次訪問港澳深圳廈門之行，體現了這一點。韓國瑜交代訪問行程時，未有多談粵港澳大灣區發展，然而行程安排卻頗有放眼大灣區之意，港澳穗深四個大灣區核心城市，韓國瑜造訪其三，香港更是第一站。

早在1980年代，不少台商都前往珠三角投資設廠，即便近年內地推動產業轉型「騰籠換鳥」，珠三角地區仍是台商重要根據地，粵港澳大灣區加快建設，台商其實亦非旁觀者。考慮到南台灣與大灣區的距離，高雄絕對可以成為大灣區一個重要合作伙伴，令兩岸四地聯繫更加緊密暢順。

對於跟大陸加強經貿合作，不少台灣人仍抱有很大戒心，然而正如韓國瑜所言，大陸佔台灣外銷總額四成，沒理由放棄這個市場，最重要是能夠開放心胸，台灣人應該對自己有信心。韓國瑜這種積極務實態度，其實亦值得港人借鑑參考。大灣區規劃綱要出台以來，香港社會有不少懷疑聲音，有人質疑「假大空」，有人擔心「被規劃」，然而只要規劃措施符合香港利益、無損一國兩制原則，便不應有太多意識形態包袱。硬要否定大灣區互利合作空間，實際是搬石頭砸自己的腳。

倘若韓國瑜這次訪問大陸取得顯著成果，相信兩岸在地方層面的交流將愈益頻繁，然而必須指出，這一發展趨勢跟緩和兩岸政治對立，並無必然關係。基於制度差異，台灣人在政治層面對大陸仍然有很大的抗拒，各地縣市政府也深明，凡是牽涉兩岸重大政治課題的事情，一定要尊重總統府的立場，所謂「地方包圍中央」，僅限於經貿文化交流事宜上向台北當局施壓。台北當局一日拒絕九二共識，兩岸政治關係難望有真正改善。